Western Governors University (WGU) BUS3100 C723 Quantitative Analysis for Business Practice Exam

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Which method is known for incorporating risk and uncertainty into project duration estimates?

Critical Path Method

Three-point estimation

The Three-point estimation method is recognized for effectively incorporating risk and uncertainty into project duration estimates. This approach involves defining three scenarios for each task's duration: the optimistic scenario (best-case), the pessimistic scenario (worst-case), and the most likely scenario. By considering these three perspectives, project managers can calculate a weighted average that reflects the potential variability in task completion times. This comprehensive assessment allows for a more nuanced understanding of project timelines, accommodating uncertainties that could impact the overall schedule.

Unlike the other methods listed, which may focus primarily on deterministic timelines or resource allocation without directly addressing the uncertainties present in estimates, the Three-point estimation explicitly acknowledges and integrates the risk elements. This method is particularly valuable in environments where project durations can be influenced by unpredictable factors, thus leading to more informed decision-making and planning.

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Cost-Benefit Analysis

Activity on Node Technique

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